Understanding: Music Clubs #2 – The Eagles, Mariah Carey

Music Box

Album – Certification – Date – Soundscan – Unsold units – Gap
Music Box – 4xP – 12/15/1993 –  2,900,000 – 1,200,000 – 0
Music Box – 5xP – 01/19/1994 –  3,600,000 – 800,000 – 600,000

Music Box – 8xP – 01/19/1995 –  6,050,000 – 150,000 – 1,800,000
Music Box –
 9xP – 01/29/1996 –  6,500,000 – Irrelevant – 2,500,000
Music Box –
 10xP – 11/05/1997 –  6,850,000 – Irrelevant – 3,150,000

Analysing Music Box in details, we can once again notice the rules change jump as it went from 4 to 5xP in January despite very few shipments happening at this period, even for a #1 album. The album was available on Clubs from the very end of 1993, obviously moving copies there at a fast pace. Until the release of #1’s, it never stopped. Reminding the album sold 735,000 units at BMG Music Club, this lets a massive 2,5 million copies for Columbia House.

An additional 450,000 units have been sold since at Soundscan end. There is no doubt the album gained a few more sales at Clubs. How much? Please refer to Daydream below.

As a reminder, Merry Christmas wasn’t available at Clubs. Up to 4,3 million when certified to 5xPlatinum, there is still a 700,000 units gap. The specific nature of the album impacted the accuracy of its Soundscan tally – we will see every limits of Soundscan tracking system on an upcoming Understanding article.

10 thoughts on “Understanding: Music Clubs #2 – The Eagles, Mariah Carey”

  1. Thank you so much MJ! You really invested a lot of your time for Mariah and cleared up all the stupid discussion concerning her “fake diamond albums”!

    I hope to see her overall CSPC article very soon! It’s about time 😉

  2. I have one further remark: I totally agree with you on all your estimations, but i find Rainbow’s shipment of 3,5 million a tad bit too low. Isn’t it reasonable to estimate 3,6-3,7 million considering the inaccuracy of SoundScan and further shipments?

    I would be very grateful if you’d have a word on this remark!

    Thanks in advance!

    1. Hello Luminator!

      As you can see there is slightly more than 4,4 million units confirmed. As the album is dead now, hardly stocked anywhere, nearly all copies shipped have either been sold – and track on its Soundscan tally – or returned. Also, in 1999 Soundscan was way more reliable than in the first half of the 90s.

      This being said, nobody – except owning all Sony bills related to the album – can know the to date net shipment number with less than a 2% margin. Considering known information and the lack of later certs to refine non-Soundscan sales I decided to stick with a round up figure of verified data but I would definitely consider a 4,6 million estimate fully acceptable. From 4,7 million, e.g. an addition of nearly 300,000 units, I would start to rate the estimate as an optimistic one. Higher would be a wished figure rather than a reasoned one!

  3. Fantastic job, as usual. I would like to see how high “Merry Christmas” can get if Sony requests an audit for it + streaming inclusion… it could easily get 7 platinum.

    I also wonder if Eagles’ “Greatest hits” can keep up the competition with “Thriller”… it seems unlikely now that streaming is a factor.

  4. Hi dear MJD !!!

    congratulations for the beautiful articles for Music Clubs 1 and 2. This weekend do you will realize CSPC analysis of some singer or groups ?
    I hope you realize CSPC analysis of The Beatles !!!

    1. Hi Anthony!

      There is two classic male acts CSPC studies in the making, plus two relatively recent bands which will be treated next. As we are nearing Christmas, I’ll try to drop such an article for every major act releasing a new album. I’m already collecting various information about The Beatles at the same time, as soon as I have a free week spot I’ll post their article!

      1. Sting is about to release a new album, let’s hope he – along with his band, The Police – are among those who will be treated next!

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